Mafia 1988: MGSF Legends

[Annoying Prick]

Roy, vote for Prick if you want to live.

@starschwar @Null @Mr. Tibbs @Aragorn come on guys, the Roy lynch train is woefully noncommittal. If Roy dies and is town, who do you even blame? Everyone has added a disclaimer to their vote that they don't even necessarily think he's mafia. At least if you lynch Prick and I'm wrong you can crucify me in the next day phase.

I've already said that I think he is more likely to be mafia by virtue of being an Aragorn voter. You're only picking me because of some faulty maths where you think that 1 in 3 is better odds than 2 in 5. You have no more certainty than any of us.

[Dirty Duck]

Roy, vote for Prick if you want to live.

@starschwar @Null @Mr. Tibbs @Aragorn come on guys, the Roy lynch train is woefully noncommittal. If Roy dies and is town, who do you even blame? Everyone has added a disclaimer to their vote that they don't even necessarily think he's mafia. At least if you lynch Prick and I'm wrong you can crucify me in the next day phase.

I've already said that I think he is more likely to be mafia by virtue of being an Aragorn voter. You're only picking me because of some faulty maths where you think that 1 in 3 is better odds than 2 in 5. You have no more certainty than any of us.

It's only 1 in 3 if I suspected myself-which I don't. I also know Agent is innocent. If a Mafia member voted against the grain, you're it.

[Annoying Prick]

Roy, vote for Prick if you want to live.

@starschwar @Null @Mr. Tibbs @Aragorn come on guys, the Roy lynch train is woefully noncommittal. If Roy dies and is town, who do you even blame? Everyone has added a disclaimer to their vote that they don't even necessarily think he's mafia. At least if you lynch Prick and I'm wrong you can crucify me in the next day phase.

I've already said that I think he is more likely to be mafia by virtue of being an Aragorn voter. You're only picking me because of some faulty maths where you think that 1 in 3 is better odds than 2 in 5. You have no more certainty than any of us.

It's only 1 in 3 if I suspected myself-which I don't. I also know Agent is innocent. If a Mafia member voted against the grain, you're it.

Well nobody else can take you at your word. From our perspective the odds are better if we vote for an Aragorn lyncher. We don't know even know if you're mafia or not and there might not even be a non-Aragorn voter but the chances that at least some mafia jumped onto an Aragorn lynch train are very high.

EDIT: And every justification you are making for lynching me applies just as much to the Roy lynch vote. If he is town then that suggests I or Roger are suspect. So the amount of information gained will be the same, the odds are just a bit better.

[bigboss88]

Roy: Well done guys, very nice asses indeed

7 players voted. 3 remaining.

[Roy]

The Aragorn voter theory doesn't make sense, there was very little to go off on the first day and it's a widely held belief that Aragorn was detrimental to Town last game so really it makes less sense to not vote him. And smart mafias would be trying to avoid becoming a suspect by being a voter of the first person lynched. Even if you did think it was one of the Aragorn voters, why me in particular, Annoying Prick?

[Dirty Duck]

@Mr. Tibbs don't do the hammer vote without disclosing what you think, please

[Mr. Tibbs]

This Roy train feels like a bad idea to me. I think Duck has overplayed this far too much for there to be a chance of him being mafia. You could also say that's 200 IQ to be so obviously mafia that nobody suspects him. But anyone with enough IQ to do that would also have enough IQ to know that it wouldn't work because it's forum mafia and nobody reads enough for that to save you. So I'm gonna trust Duck.

Lynch Annoying Prick

[Dirty Duck]

@Roy I can't stress this enough, you're one vote away from death. Vote Prick if you want to live, it's just basic survival instincts at this point.

[Null]

My feeling is none of the theories really realistically make sense to be honest, as is always with early day play. I don't really like being strong armed in to voting a certain way because whenever that's happened it's always backfired on me.

IDK

[Mr. Tibbs]

I had a lot more thoughts typed up and then I had to do something for work and accidentally closed my tab when I came back.

But to roughly summarize my thoughts and erratic behavior for anyone who hasn't been keeping up.

I voted to lynch duck hoping that he put himself out there enough with his claim of the message to generate some division and enough activity to see if a train would start. In my mind, a mafia wouldn't risk starting it but would happily jump on late. That didn't really pan out, but I think overall it was helpful. I am not 100% set on AP, but I think he is a better choice than Roy for now.

My first choice would be Roger, not because he missed my town claim that's too easy for anyone to do. But just in general for being noncommittal to any particular plan which is always suspicious to me.

For now though I'm going to vote AP to keep the balance closer because I really think just training up and killing Roy for no reason is a big misplay at this stage of the game.

I'll actually go even further and say anyone voting to lynch without giving at least a short explanation should be treated as a prime suspect. Because there's absolutely zero reason to just join a train for no reason right now and end the day