Mafia 1988: MGSF Legends

[Dirty Duck]

So go ahead and vote for one of the Aragorn voters already...

[Null]

Obviously I would say this if I was mafia but I really don't think you can read anything into day 1 lynches. Every game I play I just throw a dart on day 1. Although this time it was more meta-game influenced by wanting to murder my frenemy 'Gorn.

Having said that we don't really have much else to go on in terms of building a case. I think Prick's thinking is sound, it's probably worth lynching someone who lynched Aragorn (maybe)

I dunno, I want to hear more before deciding anything tbh

[Annoying Prick]

So go ahead and vote for one of the Aragorn voters already...

Well I don't know who to vote for and as I said there isn't that much between them. You're the one accusing me based on essentially nothing. You were wrong that I'm the statistically safer choice and I know I'm town. Now you're trying to goad me into starting a lynch train when nobody else has voted either.

You haven't presented a single actual reason to suspect me but you're acting like you can have any kind of certainty.

[Dirty Duck]

I have as much certainty as we're ever going to have given the cop was dead on Night 1 and nobody else seems to have anything. Aragorn can do what he wants, I stand by my reasoning.

I'm telling you to pick someone to lynch because as you say there's nothing to go on and you've given your counter-reasoning so commit to it, you're definitely not going to vote for yourself so why not throw a dart as Null puts it? You've potentially got a 2/5 chance, right? Naturally if you're mafia you wouldn't want to randomly start a lynch train on your teammate, so whoever you pick out of the 5 gives town something to go on tomorrow...if you are mafia. But if you're a townie why not just go for it and see what happens? It hardly matters given we'll just Follow The Cop after tonight. But first we have to get to tonight.

[Annoying Prick]

I have as much certainty as we're ever going to have given the cop was dead on Night 1 and nobody else seems to have anything. Aragorn can do what he wants, I stand by my reasoning.

I'm telling you to pick someone to lynch because as you say there's nothing to go on and you've given your counter-reasoning so commit to it, you're definitely not going to vote for yourself so why not throw a dart as Null puts it? You've potentially got a 2/5 chance, right? Naturally if you're mafia you wouldn't want to randomly start a lynch train on your teammate, so whoever you pick out of the 5 gives town something to go on tomorrow...if you are mafia. But if you're a townie why not just go for it and see what happens? It hardly matters given we'll just Follow The Cop after tonight. But first we have to get to tonight.

Not everyone has posted yet. I don't know what anyone else will say and I'm not comfortable being goaded into a lynch vote by an accusation.

I only argued against the accusations you were making. I am forced to respond if you accuse me. I wouldn't argue from probability, you brought it up. I just pointed out that you're wrong that voting for a non-Aragorn lyncher would be mathematically more likely to result in a mafia lynch. 40% odds still aren't great.

It's not true that there's nothing at stake for me. If I accidentally target a town they could easily turn on me or it could produce extra suspicion and as you said we can't be sure that you aren't mafia. I don't want to allow you to goad me into casting a vote I wouldn't have otherwise.

[Dirty Duck]

You are right, some people are lurking without posting...

[Mr. Tibbs]

I have already done my part for the town so I'll cast a vote for no reason. Aragorn is confirmed town. BK is dead. Day 1 lynch behavior is essentially random.

Lynch Dirty Duck

[Dirty Duck]

I have already done my part for the town so I'll cast a vote for no reason. Aragorn is confirmed town. BK is dead. Day 1 lynch behavior is essentially random.

Lynch Dirty Duck

It would be a pretty galaxy brained mafia play to kick off day 2 by immediately instructing town to protect the investigative role every single night and for the observer role to learn who the chef is by observing the investigative role the night he's protected, and to also say that the pool of players to investigate is the people who voted the way I did. The idea could be that I do it to gain favour amongst townies, or to change the focus to the pool of players that I, as mafia, know is all townies besides me. But, if I did do that, why would I throw it all away by trying to lynch Prick instead of taking a step back after proposing the plan and letting Aragorn waste his ability investigating townies? Why draw attention to myself by arguing lynching Prick makes sense, if I'd just proposed the strongest town tactic just to make myself look innocent? If Prick is lynched and is a townie, I lose everything I gained by making life harder for the mafia by proposing we Follow The Cop?

Also, just to confirm, you're claiming The Repairman? No need to be subtle about it if you're soft claiming anyway, Mafia aren't likely to kill a spent town role when they need The Chef dead as soon as possible.

[bigboss88]

Mr. Tibbs: It was actually rather hilarious. I was sitting at my desk feeling smug as fuck using my stolen ability and I get a notification on my phone from whatsapp that says "duck has added you to the group ?️ox ?️opuli" and I just went "fuck"

Max Payne:wait isn't Annoying Prick a Jass alt?

Novitch: Lynch me and Gibbs, Max and the duck are pretty much mafia confirmed.

2 players voted. 8 remaining.

[Null]

Kinda curious at that swing at Duck from Tibbs, what's the thinking?

Who are we waiting on to weigh in?

@Roy @weavo star? (won't let me tag him)