Mafia 1988: MGSF Legends

[Annoying Prick]

I have as much certainty as we're ever going to have given the cop was dead on Night 1 and nobody else seems to have anything. Aragorn can do what he wants, I stand by my reasoning.

I'm telling you to pick someone to lynch because as you say there's nothing to go on and you've given your counter-reasoning so commit to it, you're definitely not going to vote for yourself so why not throw a dart as Null puts it? You've potentially got a 2/5 chance, right? Naturally if you're mafia you wouldn't want to randomly start a lynch train on your teammate, so whoever you pick out of the 5 gives town something to go on tomorrow...if you are mafia. But if you're a townie why not just go for it and see what happens? It hardly matters given we'll just Follow The Cop after tonight. But first we have to get to tonight.

Not everyone has posted yet. I don't know what anyone else will say and I'm not comfortable being goaded into a lynch vote by an accusation.

I only argued against the accusations you were making. I am forced to respond if you accuse me. I wouldn't argue from probability, you brought it up. I just pointed out that you're wrong that voting for a non-Aragorn lyncher would be mathematically more likely to result in a mafia lynch. 40% odds still aren't great.

It's not true that there's nothing at stake for me. If I accidentally target a town they could easily turn on me or it could produce extra suspicion and as you said we can't be sure that you aren't mafia. I don't want to allow you to goad me into casting a vote I wouldn't have otherwise.