MGF Mafia 3: The Woodsboro Murders

[Roger]

I think the Jass death was purely by chance. However, I do noticed that there is only one death. With 12 players, I highly doubt there is only one mafia. So that means either they all chose Jass, or they chose individuals and failed. And I highly doubt with the elongated night, they failed to PM the DUCK. I'd say Mafia are purposefully trying to get Null seen as a potential Lynch candidate. However, unfortunately I cannot tell anything from the current data.

[bigboss88]

I'm not sure what I missed but why are we so sure Aragorn is innocent now? In my mind we've learned a whole lot of nothing and just have Day 1 pt 2 again

I'm not sure. Big Boss in particular is jumping to some wild conclusions, both about Aragorn and Null. Aragorn is apparently innocent and Jassassino being killed by Mafia apparently might mean that Null is a suspect but I don't see the argument for either.

I didn’t say Null is good or bad. I just stated the two possibilities and there’s a third possibility: The Final Girl was targeted while being with Jass and Jass got killed in the process. This could be anyone’s guess… for now.

My assumption that Aragorn is innocent is based on the fact that he had a lynch train after him for a poor excuse and that he’s the only one who voted “no lynch” for a good reason. What bugs me the most is that he got 6 or 7 votes to save him based on nothing.

That’s why I’m more suspicious of everyone who voted “no lynch” aside from him more than I’m suspicious of Null. That doesn’t mean Null is off the hook in my book.

[black king]

I think the mafia has to come to a consensus to kill someone so their could just be one, Roger. You not knowing that makes me think you're town. 

So we'll probably want to lynch someone active today. See who lynches whom and someone can start putting puzzle pieces together. Ideally, someone smarter than me. 

[black king]

And I highly doubt with the elongated night, they failed to PM the DUCK. 

Makes Duck sound like a mafia boss.

[Roy]

I just want it to be real babe, don’t want to wake up tomorrow and see you’ve run off again.

 

Ok I'm ride or die for Null now, it's not him.

Aragorn is still my top suspect given he's still being anti-Null without reason. Plus there was a concerted no lynch effort to keep him alive.

[bigboss88]

I think the mafia has to come to a consensus to kill someone so their could just be one, Roger. You not knowing that makes me think you're town. 

So we'll probably want to lynch someone active today. See who lynches whom and someone can start putting puzzle pieces together. Ideally, someone smarter than me. 

Of all the sentences written in your post, I disagree with one thing: we shouldn’t lynch someone so active because I still think mafia are playing the safe way by keeping their cards close to their chest. If I had to put my money on someone, it would be Agent since he started the “No lynch” train out of nowhere, but then again I seriously think I was wrong about Aragorn (this is proved yet, but I’d like to think that until someone has something concrete to share with us). So, I don’t consider myself smarter than you, but I’m good at recapping info and weighing all the possibilities. 🤣 I’m doing the same as you. Gonna wait for someone to take the lead and give us a good case against someone so that we could lynch them and hope they were right.

[weavo]

I wonder what weavo makes of all this.

Good question. Honestly, I don't have much to add. As a character that wasn't featured in the earlier movies, I have no sense of who is acting in or out of character. Maybe you're all exactly like this all the time.

Jass was an interesting choice for a target, though, given he picked someone at random to target himself. To me that suggests the killer could be Aragorn, who might not have wanted to kill one of the people who was targeting him for fear that would look suspicious (whereas if Aragorn wasn't mafia, one of the people targeting him might have been a good choice to wrongly implicate him and play for time). Alternatively it could have been one of the people leading the drive against Aragorn for similar reasons. Or it could have been someone who voted no lynch just because Jass had no obvious allies so he'd be a safe bet (but not me because I'm not mafia).

[Roger]

Oh, this is played differently from what I used to. Mafia IRL each mafia gets a kill. @black king same in Town of Salem game.

[black king]

Okay let's break it down so far:

Jass died on Day 1. We no lynched. Let's see who voted for whom.

No Lynch:
Agent, Annoying Prick, BK, Weavo, Roger

Lynch Aragorn:
bb88, Tibbs, Null, Roy, Wayno, 

Lynch Null:
Jass

I'm not seeing a pattern. The mafia wanting Aragorn lynched would make the most sense (unless he is mafia of course) to kill a townie during the day. I'm half tempted to look at those who were on the Aragorn lynch train and go from there. 

Null I don't think is mafia. He's the obvious one with Jass voting to lynch Null (granted he could be mafia still.) and Jass had called mafia on Day 1 in the past. I don't think bb88 is at the moment. Really leaves me with Tibbs, Roy, and Wayno.

[Wayno]

This is my first game of Mafia. I'm more experienced in Blood on the Clocktower where I'm a firm believer in executing every single day and brought that logic here. I said Aragorn because he had a number of votes on him already. Nothing more.